[imagesource:wikimediacommons]
Delegates at the recent Biznews Conference in London were given a peek into a hidden side of South Africa’s economy that seems to contradict the idea that the country ‘suffers from pervasive poverty and inequality’.
The idea that we are all but slipping into the abyss is often reinforced by pointing to pictures of sprawling towns with shacks and the ‘official’ unemployment numbers, something which informal economy expert GG Alcock says is misleading.
Alcock believes the widely held misconception that South Africa suffers from pervasive poverty and inequality is misleading, instead, the economy is much healthier than indicators suggest.
According to him, South Africa’s informal economy is estimated to be worth around R750 billion, which is largely hidden from many economic indicators and even the taxman.
BusinessTech reports that Alcock’s views are backed up by data from property educator Khali Masooane, who said the Soweto market has doubled in price in the past decade. The reality is that there has been a housing transformation in townships across South Africa, with impressive formal houses being built, with more houses worth over R1.5 million in former rural homelands than in Cape Town and surrounding areas.
Masooane notes this growth is not confined to Soweto but is a phenomenon that can be observed in townships across the country. Their views are backed up by data that show a four-room house in Soweto was valued at around R150,000 ten years ago. Today, a similar house would be valued at R400,000 to R500,000.
Causing this is booming construction, back-room rentals, and spaza shop rentals sectors. A prominent trend is that people move from their communal households into their own homes, creating a large sector of backroom rentals.
The backroom rental economy in South African townships is worth an estimated R20 billion to R40 billion annually.
Spaza shops, taverns, fast food outlets, salons, and auto repairs are among the rapidly growing business sectors. Alcock said there are around 50,000 out-of-home fast food outlets in townships, which generate around R90 billion in revenue.
“There is a misconception that people support these outlets because they are cheaper than well-known fast-food brands like KFC, Nando’s, or Steers.”
“People don’t buy this food because it is cheaper. It is generally more expensive, but people prefer that food.”
The spaza market, which offers clients products through an informal superette, is another booming sector. A recent Nielsen survey estimated that the spaza sector achieved an annual spend of R189 billion across 100,000 outlets.
“The growth in the informal spaza sector has been around 24% per year compared to 15% in the formal sector.”
These spaza shop owners, often foreigners, pay around R25 billion in rent to South Africans who own properties they operate from. Alcock disputes the false belief that South Africa needs more company launches and entrepreneurial activity, pointing out that the country’s fastest-growing sector – its informal economy – has an annual GDP of R750 billion.
“The businesses and entrepreneurs exist already. We have hundreds of thousands of them but don’t recognise them,” he said.
“We do not need to start new businesses. We need to help them scale up. We need to give them the resources and support they need.”
As well as tax them. The fact that the industry is rarely included in official economic statistics and that not much tax revenue is generated is one of the reasons it is not given much credit.
Investec said informal businesses and entrepreneurs typically do not contribute directly to the fiscus through taxes, and SARS has virtually no presence in the informal economy – informal businesses pay value-added tax (VAT) on purchases, but that is where the taxman’s reach stops.
UCT researcher Luvuyo Mncanca added that businesses operating in the informal economy do not want to be regulated or registered for tax.
Alcock’s overview of the size of different parts of the informal economy during the Biznews Conference paints an amazing picture:
I’m no economist, and it seems that so-called Kasinomics is too big to have completely slipped by SARS, as noted by Alcock. I also doubt that so much of the poverty that we see daily is just entrepreneurs ‘flying under the radar’.
But if true, R750 billion in uncollected taxes would go a long way to funding the NHI that Ramaphosa conveniently signed up for before the elections. Pull the churches into the tax ring, and we might all be able to scrape by.
You can read more about GG Alcocks’ Kasinomics here.
[source:businesstech]
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