[imagesource: Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Composite: Mark Kelly]
Pennsylvania.
Arizona.
Georgia.
Nevada.
These are currently the four most hotly contested states in the battle for the US presidency, and we are deep in the 9th innings, to borrow an American phrase.
(Alaska and North Carolina are still in play, but the margins are far wider than in the four states above.)
I am not going to break down what states Joe Biden needs to win, or Donald Trump needs to hold, because I’ll assume you know this already.
What I will do is recommend that you check out the 2020 Election Battleground State vote tally, which uses data from an unofficial API powering the New York Times’ election site.
It breaks down each incoming tranche of tallied votes, showing the percentage claimed by each candidate, tells you how many remain to be counted (with the caveat that it’s an estimate and values could change), and spells out exactly what is needed from the outstanding votes for a state victory.
As of 8:20AM, for example, here’s a look at Arizona and Georgia, both of which are in play:
I know, the screenshots are hard to read, but it’s the only way to fit all of the information in.
In Arizona, Trump will need 57,61% of the votes that remain to overtake Biden
In Georgia, Biden needs just shy of 60% to overtake Trump.
North Carolina is almost certainly a lock for Trump, but Nevada and Pennsylvania could be headed for a photo finish:
In Nevada, with an estimated 146 757 votes to count, Trump will need just shy of 54% to overtake Biden.
In Pennsylvania, with just over 280 000 estimated votes to count, Biden will need 54%.
The site updates constantly, as new batches are counted and officially uploaded in each state, so it’s one for the obsessives and a constant bashing of the ‘refresh’ button.
Of course, we know that the legal battles will go on for days and weeks, and most likely months, but these will be the official results before all of that is factored in.
You can follow along here.
Let’s end with something lighthearted, which will resonate with anybody who has watched CNN over the past 48 hours:
CNN the last 24 hours pic.twitter.com/a0XJO7de0w
— Michael Kosta (@michaelkosta) November 5, 2020
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