Well done on voting, friends.

Be sure to scrutinise everyone’s thumbs today, and cast judging looks at those who aren’t marked accordingly.

Now that the voting is done and dusted, we move on to tallying the results. Whilst it is still early days, News24‘s prediction model has led them to believe that the DA will hang onto the Western Cape.

“Based on available and representative results in the Western Cape”, here’s the latest:

The DA will hang onto its majority, but it could be less than the 57% it secured in 2014.

The ANC has lost support and will come in at under 30%. It secured 34% in 2014.

The EFF looks set to garner support of around 3.6% and the Good party is expected to receive around 4%.

The FF Plus did not make significant inroads in the province.

News24’s elections analyst Dawie Scholtz says the DA’s support in the Western Cape, although lower than in 2014, has remained relatively stable.

“They will be marginally down on the previous election and could end up in the region of 55%.”

…Scholtz says the big game changer in the province is the differential between voter turnout in suburban areas and in rural areas and townships, where almost 75% of voters went to the polls, but only 63% of the latter went.

Looks like the desperate SMSs and letters from the DA might have worked.

There are a number of sites running live election results as they filter in. We will start with News24, with this screenshot below accurate as of 8:05AM:

That’s with less than 23% of the total national vote counted.

Head over here if you want to click around, but we’ll also have a quick look at the Western Cape results as they stand:

That’s with just shy of 40% of the provincial votes counted.

The Mail & Guardian also have a live ticker, which keeps things simple. This is correct as of 8:09AM:

You can delve deeper here.

I’d suggest checking in every now and again, as some of the bigger voting station results are tallied, because there is still a long, long way to go.

[sources:news24&news24&mg]