I’ll just come out with the bad news first – the odds of Donald being the next U.S. president have shortened since his win in New Hampshire.
Not just a little, to dig the knife in deeper, but all the way from 7-1 after Iowa to 9-2 at present. Thanks New Hampshire, not cool.
If betting or maths ain’t your strong point the team at RJ have made it easy for us, even including those other candidates we hardly hear about:
[Trump’s] chances of victory in November are now 18 percent, up from 13 percent, putting him second to Democrat Hillary Clinton, whose odds of winning the presidency were even, or 50/50, on Wednesday.
Clinton was roundly beaten by Bernie Sanders, a U.S. senator from Vermont, in New Hampshire. Her odds of winning the presidency slipped from 4/5, or a 56 percent chance at the White House, seen immediately after the Iowa caucuses.
“New Hampshire couldn’t have worked out much better for Trump,” said Matthew Shaddick, head of political odds at Ladbrokes. “This might be bad news for the Republican Party, but it’s not much better for us bookmakers, who are facing some huge payouts on the one-time 100/1 no-hoper.”
He was referring to Trump’s 100/1 odds, giving him a 1 percent chance, when he declared his candidacy last June.
That’s right, Trump’s odds have increased 18-fold since last June, a time period in which he has proposed building a wall to keep out the Mexican druggie rapists and passing a law to ban all Muslims from entering the country.
Shivers down the spine kind of stuff really, if this is the populist thought process over yonder in the land of the free we should all be worried.
[source:rj]
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